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Fingers crossed. Monkeypox may have hit a brick wall.
When it first started it looked like a rapidly growing exponential spread possibly even airborne but a number of things could have limited its sudden abrupt slowdown in spread. It might not be airborne. Even if most patients are men who have sex with men they emits aerosols and I would have expected a greater…
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MPX could devastate the meat industry. Beef,Pork,Lamb,Fish.
There are 2 huge issues with monkeypox that may devastate the meat industry. First some background. The monkeypox virus is an orthopoxvirus, like smallpox and cowpox. Monkeypox arose in Africa when they were experimenting with small pox and small pox vaccines on monkeys. It was discovered in 1958. This monkeypox then spread back to humans,…
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“OurWorldInData” is now counting monkeypox (#MPX) deaths. 9 so far.
According to “OurWorldInData” there have been 9 monkeypox virus deaths so far. The WHO said there were 5 in Africa. I see 4. I have already noted that India had a monkeypox death recently. So Spain seems to be the first “rich/western” country to have had a monkeypox virus death, 2 in fact. The number…
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The Monkeypox virus is slowing down its spread, but on target for 20 million worldwide by Christmas
The Monkeypox virus is slowing down its spread, according to official data from “OurWorldInData”. I have watched the doubling time extend out from 3-4 days to 15 days now. That means x15=2, where x is how fast it is growing every day. Solving for x we get x = exp( ln2 /15) = 1.04729. So…
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USA 1043 new #MPX cases in one day. Really?
BNO News just reported that the USA just had 1043 new cases of the monkeypox virus (#MPXV) in one day. I am not sure results are reported every day so this may not be quite true. Here is the tweet, and here is the graph showing there are days of no reports. The case number…
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MPX update 23 June 2022
There are now 3552 cases of #MPX in the world. Doubling time seems to have stabilized at 9-10 days. See previous posts to see estimates forecast. It is confirmed in 43 countries, unconfirmed in another 12 countries. This new variant of Monkeypox is now appearing in countries in Africa, like Ghana (18 confirmed cases) and…